Forecasting the Future Key Trends for the Next Generation of UN Peace Operations

There is an urgent need to reflect on how peace operations can remain effective in an increasingly complex world. With rising global tensions and limited resources, the UN must find ways to empower global collective action to maintain international peace and security and to uphold international law, principles and norms.

To support this, the Folke Bernadotte Academy (FBA) asked its wide, global network of researchers three key questions to predict relevant trends informing the future of peace operations. The FBA has applied crowdsourced forecasting, which involves soliciting inputs from a multitude of experts and researchers to identify trends and perspectives to enable more informed decision making. More precisely, the survey was distributed to 82 researchers, all with thematically relevant expertise, and the results of the 29 responses are presented anonymously in this summary.

The views presented do not necessarily represent recommendations or views of the FBA, but summarize the independent, research-informed views of the invited researchers.